← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 10, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Castellon win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Castellon −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 20' | 🟨 | Adrián Lapeña · Cordoba |
| 28' | 🟨 | Carlos Isaac · Cordoba |
| 29' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Belt · Castellon |
| 45' | ⚽ | Álex Calatrava · Castellon |
| 47' | ⚽ | Théo Zidane · Cordoba |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jetro Willems · Castellon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ander Yoldi · Cordoba |
| 71' | 🟨 | Álex Calatrava · Castellon |
| 77' | ⚽ | Antonio Casas · Cordoba |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jose Calderon · Cordoba |
| coach days | 528.00 | 528.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1369.53 | 1447.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.98 | 8.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| league points | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 14.85 | 14.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |