← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 56% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Cartagena win | 18% | 6.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Cartagena −0.75 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Cedric Teguia · Cartagena |
| 23' | 🟨 | Andrija Vukčević · Cartagena |
| 33' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Málaga CF |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nélson Monte · Málaga CF |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mini · Cartagena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Roko Baturina · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jokin Gabilondo · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 678.00 | 69.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1459.17 | 1379.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.32 | -52.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.69 |
| league points | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 13.29 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.06 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |