← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 3.00 |
| Huesca win | 34% | 3.00 |
| Zaragoza win | 32% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.41 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Gerard Valentín · Huesca |
| 52' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Huesca |
| 55' | 🟨 | Javier Hernández · Huesca |
| 63' | 🟨 | Rubén Pulido · Huesca |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 405.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1492.90 | 1496.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.15 | 4.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |