← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Eldense win | 21% | 4.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Granada −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lucas Boyé · Granada |
| 49' | ⚽ | Ivan Chapela · Eldense |
| 52' | 🟨 | Giorgi Tsitaishvili · Granada |
| 53' | ⚽ | Juanto Ortuño · Eldense |
| 79' | 🟨 | Sergio Rodelas · Granada |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Eldense |
| 81' | 🟨 | Juanma Lendínez · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joel Jorquera · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 5 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Timor · Eldense |
| 90' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| coach days | 69.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1497.21 | 1421.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.37 | -44.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 14.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.06 | — |
| state index | 0.21 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |