← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 8, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Pérez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Almeria win | 26% | 3.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Elche CF −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Jose Salinas · Elche CF |
| 14' | 🟨 | Marc Pubill · Almeria |
| 34' | 🟨 | Álex Centelles · Almeria |
| 37' | ⚽ | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 38' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 42' | 🟨 | Iddrisu Baba · Almeria |
| 54' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mario Gaspar · Elche CF |
| 74' | 🟨 | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
| 79' | 🟨 | Fernando Martínez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.20 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rachad Dhimi · Almeria |
| coach days | 130.00 | 160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1509.96 | 1506.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.80 | 31.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| league points | 24.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 12.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 23.29 |
| state index | 0.74 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |