← Segunda División 2024-25 · Mon, Oct 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Sergiu Muresan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Tenerife win | 29% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Ferrol −0.25 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Fernando Medrano · Tenerife |
| 13' | ⚽ | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 15' | ⚽ | Eneko Jauregi · Ferrol |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aleksa Purić · Ferrol |
| 75' | 🟨 | Moises Delgado · Ferrol |
| 81' | 🟨 | David Rodríguez Ramos · Tenerife |
| 85' | 🟨 | Aleksa Purić · Ferrol |
| 85' | 🟥 | Aleksa Purić · Ferrol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ferrol | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de A Malata |
| coach days | 1365.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1437.87 | 1429.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.34 | -21.67 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |