← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 27, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Huesca win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Almeria +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Toni Abad · Huesca |
| 9' | ⚽ | Iker Unzueta Arregui · Huesca |
| 36' | 🟥 | Diego González · Huesca |
| 43' | 🟨 | Bruno Langa · Almeria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Javier Hernández · Huesca |
| 55' | 🟨 | Álex Centelles · Almeria |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Ignasi Vilarrasa · Huesca |
| 82' | ⚽ | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 85' | ⚽ | Álex Centelles · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 25 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 392.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1494.31 | 1505.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.37 | 21.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 2.94 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.04 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |