← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Pérez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Eibar win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | David Larrubia · Málaga CF |
| 47' | 🟨 | Luismi · Málaga CF |
| 53' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 58' | 🟨 | Cristián Gutiérrez · Eibar |
| 84' | 🟨 | Toni Villa · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Carrillo · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 665.00 | 484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1448.44 | 1533.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.11 | -15.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| league points | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 2.75 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |