← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Orellana
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Castellon win | 28% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Castellon −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Alberto Jiménez · Castellon |
| 4' | 🟨 | Óscar Gil · Castellon |
| 8' | ⚽ | Adrian Liso · Zaragoza |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 40' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Castellon |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jetro Willems · Castellon |
| 53' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · Zaragoza |
| 71' | 🟨 | Lluis Lopez · Zaragoza |
| 76' | ⚽ | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 85' | 🟨 | Israel Suero · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 239.00 | 513.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1501.45 | 1434.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.97 | 8.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |