← Segunda División 2024-25 · Thu, Oct 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Málaga CF win | 23% | 4.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Tenerife −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.47 |
| Over | 34% | 2.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
| 29' | 🟨 | Fernando Medrano · Tenerife |
| 34' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 54' | 🟨 | Josep Gayá · Tenerife |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Tenerife |
| 60' | 🟨 | Carlos Puga · Málaga CF |
| 81' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Garcia Marin · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 53.00 | 662.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1430.99 | 1447.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.88 | -12.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 5.10 | 5.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.55 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |