← Segunda División 2024-25 · Thu, Oct 24, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.35 |
| Albacete win | 19% | 5.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Almeria −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.63 |
| Under | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Léo Baptistão · Almeria |
| 26' | ⚽ | Rai Marchán · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dion Lopy · Almeria |
| 49' | ⚽ | Léo Baptistão · Almeria |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Melero · Almeria |
| 55' | 🟨 | Chumi · Almeria |
| 57' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 61' | 🟨 | Álex Centelles · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | UD Almería Stadium |
| coach days | 145.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1493.39 | 1475.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.93 | 7.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | 1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| league points | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 2.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 23.29 | — |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |