← Segunda División 2024-25 · Wed, Oct 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Zaragoza win | 34% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.63 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Juanto Ortuño · Eldense |
| 34' | ⚽ | Samed Baždar · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Víctor García · Eldense |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · Zaragoza |
| 72' | ⚽ | Youness Lachhab · Eldense |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Zaragoza |
| 80' | ⚽ | Adrian Liso · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Kóša · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 114.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1448.46 | 1490.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.12 | -21.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 4.11 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |