← Segunda División 2024-25 · Wed, Oct 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cadiz win | 25% | 4.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Cadiz −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Fali · Cadiz |
| 15' | 🟨 | Jose Antonio de la Rosa · Cadiz |
| 19' | 🟨 | Álvaro Carrillo · Eibar |
| 31' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 45' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Cadiz |
| 51' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Eibar |
| 64' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 65' | 🟨 | Toni Villa · Eibar |
| 69' | 🟨 | Chema · Eibar |
| 78' | 🟨 | Rominigue Kouamé · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa |
| coach days | 480.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1526.06 | 1496.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.01 | -31.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 28.22 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |