← Segunda División 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Marta Huerta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Granada win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Castellon −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 26' | ⚽ | Reinier · Granada |
| 33' | ⚽ | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 35' | ⚽ | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 42' | 🟨 | Reinier · Granada |
| 45' | 🟨 | Miguel Ángel Brau · Granada |
| 49' | ⚽ | Miguel Ángel Brau · Granada |
| 57' | 🟨 | Raúl Sánchez · Castellon |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Granada |
| 68' | 🟨 | Álex Calatrava · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio SkyFi Castalia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Rubio · Granada |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ignasi Miquel · Granada |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| coach days | 509.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1444.24 | 1506.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.41 | 29.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |