← Segunda División 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Mirandes win | 15% | 6.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Mirandes −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Raúl Fernández · Mirandes |
| 41' | ⚽ | Alemão · Oviedo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Haissem Hassan · Oviedo |
| 73' | ⚽ | Álex Cardero · Oviedo |
| 82' | ⚽ | Daniel Paraschiv · Oviedo |
| 86' | ⚽ | Pablo Tomeo · Mirandes |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julio Alonso · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Haissem Hassan · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joel Roca · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 113.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| 479.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1543.92 | 1483.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.16 | 11.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| league points | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 3.11 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |