← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| Tenerife win | 17% | 5.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Granada −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Villar · Granada |
| 18' | 🟨 | Theo Corbeanu · Granada |
| 20' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 33' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 37' | 🟨 | Aarón Martín · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | David Rodríguez Ramos · Tenerife |
| 57' | 🟨 | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 81' | ⚽ | Lucas Boyé · Granada |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lucas Boyé · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 48.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 1.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1493.74 | 1444.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.67 | -9.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.06 | — |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |