← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Málaga CF win | 31% | 3.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Málaga CF +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Carlos Puga · Málaga CF |
| 86' | 🟨 | Oier Luengo · Oviedo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sergio Castel Martínez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Santiago Colombatto · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kwasi Sibo · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Oier Luengo · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 657.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1446.07 | 1545.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.15 | 25.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.79 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |