← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 13, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Mirandes win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Mirandes −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Hugo Rincón · Mirandes |
| 36' | 🟨 | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 50' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 66' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Burgos |
| 81' | ⚽ | Hugo Rincón · Mirandes |
| 86' | 🟨 | Iñigo Cordoba · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eduardo Espiau · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Victor Parada · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Fernández · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joaquin Panichelli · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 12.00 | 470.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| congestion 21d |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1485.45 | 1461.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.37 | 3.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |