← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 13, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Marta Huerta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Almeria win | 27% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Almeria −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Alejandro Pozo · Almeria |
| 12' | ⚽ | David Costas · Oviedo |
| 18' | ⚽ | Jaime Seoane · Oviedo |
| 24' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 43' | 🟨 | Álex Centelles · Almeria |
| 63' | 🟥 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Almeria |
| 67' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| 70' | ⚽ | Alemão · Oviedo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Paulino De la Fuente · Oviedo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jaime Seoane · Oviedo |
| 79' | 🟥 | Rachad Dhimi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Almeria |
| coach days | 104.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1538.10 | 1488.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.27 | -30.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 23.29 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |