← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Albacete win | 28% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Huesca −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Riki Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 28' | 🟨 | Lalo Aguilar · Albacete |
| 29' | ⚽ | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
| 36' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Huesca |
| 37' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Huesca |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
| 45' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
| 69' | 🟨 | Javier Rueda · Albacete |
| 77' | 🟨 | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
| 80' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Huesca |
| 81' | 🟨 | Raúl Lizoain |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| 85' | 🟨 | Álvaro Rodriguez · Albacete |
| coach days | 378.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1515.05 | 1459.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.32 | -31.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 8.73 | 6.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |