← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 12, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 55% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Málaga CF win | 19% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cadiz −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Víctor Chust · Cadiz |
| 23' | ⚽ | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 41' | ⚽ | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 54' | ⚽ | Dioni · Málaga CF |
| 82' | ⚽ | Sergio Castel Martínez · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 103.00 | 650.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1510.34 | 1442.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.23 | -8.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |