← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Oct 11, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: José Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Zaragoza win | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Tenerife −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Aarón Martín · Tenerife |
| 24' | 🟥 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
| 37' | 🟨 | José León · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Josep Gayá · Tenerife |
| 49' | 🟨 | Dani Tasende · Zaragoza |
| 50' | ⚽ | David Rodríguez Ramos · Tenerife |
| 60' | 🟨 | Malcom Ares · Zaragoza |
| 70' | 🟨 | David Rodríguez Ramos · Tenerife |
| 74' | ⚽ | Samed Baždar · Zaragoza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Bernardo Vital · Zaragoza |
| 79' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| 87' | ⚽ | Samed Baždar · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Waldo Rubio Marin · Tenerife |
| coach days | 40.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1454.64 | 1492.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.48 | -29.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |