← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 30% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| 63' |
| 🟨 |
| Jokin Ezkieta · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 66' | ⚽ | Mario Soberón · Zaragoza |
| 71' | ⚽ | Aritz Aldasoro · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 84' | 🟨 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francisco Montero · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 218.00 | 674.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1503.24 | 1542.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.35 | 16.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |