← Segunda División 2024-25 · Mon, Sep 30, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 64% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.52 |
| Cartagena win | 14% | 7.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander −1 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Cartagena −1 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Muñoz · Cartagena |
| 58' | ⚽ | Jairo Izquierdo · Cartagena |
| 72' | 🟨 | Gaston Valles · Cartagena |
| 74' | ⚽ | Andrés Martín · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 81' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mini · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Racing Club de Santander | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Campos de Sport de El Sardinero |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 669.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1557.22 | 1428.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.78 | -22.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 8.18 | 8.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 2.43 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |