← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 29, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Ferrol win | 19% | 5.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cordoba −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Aleksa Purić · Ferrol |
| 36' | 🟨 | Marvel · Cordoba |
| 43' | ⚽ | Isma Ruiz · Cordoba |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cristian Carracedo · Cordoba |
| 47' | ⚽ | Eneko Jauregi · Ferrol |
| 71' | ⚽ | Antonio Casas · Cordoba |
| 73' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Ferrol |
| 84' | ⚽ | Adrián Lapeña · Cordoba |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Albarrán · Cordoba |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.12 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| coach days | 486.00 | 1336.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1331.94 | 1429.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.65 | -36.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -1.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| league points | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.45 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |