← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 29, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Granada win | 30% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Villar · Granada |
| 21' | 🟨 | Miguel Ángel Brau · Granada |
| 21' | 🟨 | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 45' | 🟨 | David López · Burgos |
| 51' | ⚽ | Giorgi Tsitaishvili · Granada |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lisandro López · Burgos |
| 71' | 🟨 | Kamil Jóźwiak · Granada |
| 72' | ⚽ | Lisandro López · Burgos |
| 73' | ⚽ | Manu Trigueros · Granada |
| 77' | ⚽ | Borja Sánchez · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Borja Sánchez · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Sáenz · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 486.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1518.86 | 1513.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.25 | -12.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 8.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.37 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |