← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 29, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Almeria win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Almeria −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Roger Brugué · Levante UD |
| 13' | 🟨 | Diego Pampín · Levante UD |
| 15' | ⚽ | José Luis Morales · Levante UD |
| 17' | ⚽ | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 42' | 🟨 | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 51' | ⚽ | Giorgi Kochorashvili · Levante UD |
| 74' | ⚽ | Carlos Álvarez · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Levante UD | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia |
| coach days | 120.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.97 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1568.88 | 1483.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.61 | -41.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 6.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 23.29 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |