← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 28, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Eldense win | 19% | 5.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cadiz −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Alex Bernal · Eldense |
| 20' | ⚽ | Víctor García · Eldense |
| 24' | 🟨 | Nacho Quintana · Eldense |
| 65' | ⚽ | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Mateu · Eldense |
| 75' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Eldense |
| 77' | 🟨 | Youness Lachhab · Eldense |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 25 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 89.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1537.67 | 1451.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.75 | -7.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.80 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |