← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 22, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Orellana
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 27% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Castellon −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sergio Moyita · Castellon |
| 48' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrés Martín · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 86' | 🟨 | Aritz Aldasoro · Real Racing Club de Santander |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 479.00 | 661.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1425.00 | 1549.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.95 | 43.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |