← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Levante UD win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Mario Soberón · Zaragoza |
| 22' | 🟨 | Adrián de la Fuente · Levante UD |
| 40' | ⚽ | José Luis Morales · Levante UD |
| 67' | 🟨 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 85' | ⚽ | Samed Baždar · Zaragoza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 204.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 3.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1512.22 | 1579.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.76 | 34.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.81 |
| league points | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | — | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |