← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 20, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.76 |
| Málaga CF win | 19% | 5.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Granada −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Manu Trigueros · Granada |
| 56' | ⚽ | Carlos Neva · Granada |
| 60' | ⚽ | Antonio Cordero · Málaga CF |
| 74' | 🟨 | Miguel Rubio · Granada |
| 77' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 79' | 🟨 | Sergio Castel Martínez · Málaga CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Luismi · Málaga CF |
| 89' | 🟨 | Daniel Sánchez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Theo Corbeanu · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nélson Monte · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chupete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nélson Monte · Málaga CF |
| coach days | 19.00 | 628.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1477.02 | 1459.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.47 | 19.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.72 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 4.98 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.06 | — |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |