← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 15, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Granada win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Granada −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Granada |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 46' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · Granada |
| 55' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 57' | ⚽ | Loïc Williams · Granada |
| 65' | ⚽ | Mourad El Ghezouani · Elche CF |
| 74' | 🟨 | Josan · Elche CF |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marc Martínez · Granada |
| 85' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Villar · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 76.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1449.06 | 1476.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.47 | -25.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| league points | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 89.20 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.20 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 2.26 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 2.01 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |