← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 42% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.20 |
| Huesca win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ (og) | Jorge Pulido · Málaga CF |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jordi Martín · Huesca |
| 60' | 🟨 | Alfonso Herrero · Málaga CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Toni Abad · Huesca |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nélson Monte · Málaga CF |
| 89' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iker Unzueta Arregui · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 622.00 | 349.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1449.22 | 1513.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.39 | 21.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.30 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.78 |
| league points | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 37.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.57 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |