← Segunda División 2024-25 · Mon, Sep 9, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 48% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Cadiz win | 24% | 4.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon −0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Cadiz −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Cadiz |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Rubén Alcaraz · Cadiz |
| 56' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Cadiz |
| 84' | 🟨 | Óscar Gil · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Moyita · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fali · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fede San Emeterio · Cadiz |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Israel Suero · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 466.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.48 |
| elo | 1412.62 | 1519.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.65 | -48.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.72 |
| league points | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 8.17 | 9.08 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.22 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |