← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 7, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: José Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Burgos win | 26% | 4.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Javier Pérez Mateo · Huesca |
| 47' | 🟨 | Toni Abad · Huesca |
| 52' | 🟥 | Ignasi Vilarrasa · Huesca |
| 59' | 🟨 | Florian Miguel · Burgos |
| 77' | ⚽ | Iñigo Cordoba · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rubén Pulido · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patrick Soko · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Navarro · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| 342.00 |
| 464.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | — |
| elo | 1527.37 | 1463.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.79 | -14.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| league points | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 6.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | — |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.24 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |