← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Albacete win | 28% | 3.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Albacete |
| 14' | ⚽ | Dioni · Málaga CF |
| 16' | 🟨 | Dani Lorenzo · Málaga CF |
| 17' | 🟨 | Antonio Cordero · Málaga CF |
| 28' | 🟨 | Juan Antonio Ros · Albacete |
| 39' | 🟥 | Álex Pastor · Málaga CF |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jaume Costa · Albacete |
| 73' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Málaga CF |
| 78' | 🟨 | Juan María Alcedo · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Javier Rueda · Albacete |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Antonio Cordero |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 608.00 | 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | — |
| elo | 1441.27 | 1500.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.51 | 17.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.60 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.83 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.10 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.31 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |