← Segunda División 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Tenerife win | 18% | 5.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cadiz −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Cadiz |
| 26' | ⚽ | Youssouf Diarra · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Brian Ocampo · Cadiz |
| 52' | 🟨 | Rubén Alcaraz · Cadiz |
| 54' | ⚽ | Luismi Cruz · Tenerife |
| 66' | 🟨 | Tomeu Nadal · Tenerife |
| 70' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Cadiz |
| 72' | 🟨 | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 82' | 🟨 | Tomás Alarcón · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álejandro Cantero |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| 90' | ⚽ | Francisco Mwepu · Cadiz |
| coach days | 61.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1522.81 | 1465.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.55 | -19.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.90 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |