← Segunda División 2024-25 · Fri, Aug 16, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Zaragoza win | 21% | 4.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cadiz −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.37 |
| Over | 30% | 3.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Rubén Sobrino · Cadiz |
| 14' | ⚽ | Mario Soberón · Zaragoza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Bernardo Vital · Zaragoza |
| 43' | ⚽ | Mario Soberón · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Fali · Cadiz |
| 65' | 🟨 | Sergio Bermejo · Zaragoza |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ager Aketxe · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Brian Ocampo · Cadiz |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcos Luna · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 46.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1545.47 | 1473.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.50 | -4.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |