← Serie B 2025-26 · Fri, May 8, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 54% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Empoli win | 22% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.75 | 51% | 1.85 |
| AC Monza −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 311.00 | 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Brianteo |
| 3.00 |
| -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1591.09 | 1433.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.28 | -20.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 75.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.23 | 7.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 1.34 |