← Serie B 2025-26 · Fri, May 8, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Arena
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 68% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.25 |
| Padova win | 15% | 6.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −1.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Padova −1.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 30 | Shots | 15 |
| 11 | On target | 7 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 280.00 | 706.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| venue | Stadio Dino Manuzzi |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.60 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1417.76 | 1397.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.75 | 11.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 46.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.23 | 7.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -0.95 |
| solidity v1 | 0.91 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.16 | 28.45 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 0.92 |