← Serie B 2025-26 · Fri, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Bari win | 33% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Bari +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 273.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stadio San Nicola |
| -1.20 |
| 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1371.61 | 1358.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.59 | 30.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.78 | 0.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 34.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.75 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -0.55 |
| solidity v1 | -1.41 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -1.01 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.33 |