← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 67% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Bari win | 12% | 7.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +1.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Bari +1.25 | 49% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 260.00 | 291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stadio San Nicola |
| -3.60 |
| -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1391.53 | 1642.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.34 | -0.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 34.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 65.40 |
| rest days | 6.81 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 1.50 |
| solidity v1 | -0.92 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 0.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.91 |