← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Apr 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Padova win | 33% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Padova +0.25 | 55% | 1.70 |
| Empoli +0.25 | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Padova | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 680.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| venue | Stadio Euganeo |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.80 |
| -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 4.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1380.89 | 1465.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.32 | -10.53 |
| eye test v1 | -1.14 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 34.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.57 |
| solidity v1 | -1.35 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.70 | 25.10 |
| state index | -1.16 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.08 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.77 |