← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Zanotti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Sudtirol win | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol +0.25 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Modena +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 496.00 | 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| 0.60 |
| 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1452.29 | 1486.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.64 | -15.84 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 39.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 5.10 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | -0.01 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 0.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.33 |