← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Padova win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0.75 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Padova +0.75 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Padova | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| coach days | 658.00 | 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| venue | Stadio Euganeo |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -3.60 |
| 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1392.76 | 1564.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.04 | -22.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 34.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.40 |
| solidity v1 | -1.16 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 29.80 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.74 |