← Serie B 2025-26 · Wed, Mar 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Sampdoria win | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 807.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| 1.60 |
| -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1426.69 | 1409.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.53 | -28.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -1.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 33.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -0.65 |
| solidity v1 | -0.00 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.80 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 0.75 |