← Serie B 2025-26 · Sun, Mar 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Perri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36% | 2.57 |
| Virtus Entella win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Avellino win | 31% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Avellino +0 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 257.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1362.00 | 1395.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.43 | -7.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 31.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | -0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -0.72 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 28.90 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.87 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.71 |