← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Cesena win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Cesena +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 24 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 225.00 | 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stadio Dino Manuzzi |
| -1.80 |
| 7.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 9.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.19 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1420.07 | 1580.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.71 | 7.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 1.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.81 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 21.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 0.58 |
| solidity v1 | -0.98 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| state index | -1.17 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 1.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 2.13 |