← Serie B 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Reggiana win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 225.00 | 378.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stadio San Nicola |
| -3.40 |
| -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1388.19 | 1379.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.19 | -7.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -1.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | -0.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| league points | 28.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 5.81 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -1.37 |
| solidity v1 | -1.30 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.81 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 0.63 |