← Serie B 2025-26 · Wed, Mar 4, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Caputi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Bari win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Empoli +0.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 215.00 | 215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| venue | Stadio San Nicola |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -5.00 |
| 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1405.10 | 1486.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.11 | -21.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 25.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.30 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 24.83 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.65 |